Are You Overestimating Yourself as a Trader?
How to get your bearings and make your day trading breakthrough.
Believe it or not, knowledge can be dangerous, and confidence may be your biggest obstacle in succeeding as a trader.
In 1999, two psychologists published a paper introducing The Dunning Kruger Effect. This study illustrates the psychology behind skills development and warns of the tendency to become too confident too soon.
This framework of overconfidence, failure, and rebirth applies perfectly to the journey of so many traders. When understood, it can teach you how to grind through a rocky start in your own trading journey to arrive at the euphoric land of profitability and perhaps even the elusive label of expert trader.
The Five Stages of Trading
The day trader's journey of growth consists of five distinct stages. The journey starts with wide-eyed wonder but quickly turns to test your mettle. It may be inside your head, but that doesn't make it any less real.
If you're an active trader, one of these stages is where you are now.
- Incompetent/Confident: You think trading is easy. You don't know any better. Someone in your ear has you believing you can master trading without putting in the time, unlike your predecessors. Even if you manage a winner here and there, you trade recklessly.
- Incompetent/Aware: Trading requires skill. This revelation is a painful pill to swallow, and you recognize that the person in the mirror is responsible for your losses. Frustration begins to poison your expectations, making gaining traction in your dwindling account even harder. You consider folding and walking away for good.
- Incompetent/Enlightened: This is the Eureka moment. You can't predict the market, but you can manage risk. You accept losses instead of battling them, and you let winners run.
- Competent/Aware: You've become skilled at thoughtful trading. Losses no longer affect your mood. Your account breaks even, and profit starts to dawn on your account.
- Competent/Confident: You trade skillfully, almost without thinking. A calm attitude guides you through each trading day, and your account grows steadily. Months in the red are a thing of the past.
Grow Your Mind. Grow Your Account.
Every trader goes through some version of this journey. It's why the best traders have an air of sophisticated calm, like an inner strength that they wear. They've been reborn from pain. They earned their place at the table.
With Jarvis at your side, you have an immense advantage as a trader. You instantly have the knowledge to trade like an expert–the signals are right there! However, an influx of knowledge can lead to overconfidence, compromising your judgment. That's a dangerous place to be as a trader.
Every day on our Discord, we prepare users for this unseen journey that takes place between your ears. We teach the disciplines, patience, and mental exercises learned through decades of training because we want you to win.
The best traders aren't just made—they're forged. The question is, are you ready to rise to the challenge? Join us on Discord every trading day and start mastering the mindset and strategy of elite traders. Your edge begins now.
More Stories
The Top 3 Mistakes Even Pro Traders Can’t Escape
Trading is a constant internal battle.
Professional traders move millions in daily volume, yet they still fall victim to the same emotional traps that derail beginners. What sets them apart? Pros recognize their emotional triggers, refusing to recycle the same costly mistakes that vaporize new accounts.
Jarvis puts institutional-grade analysis at your fingertips, but without emotional discipline, even the best tools can be sabotaged by emotional triggers. Here are three common emotional pitfalls that plague traders at every level, and how to use Jarvis to stay disciplined when your instincts are at war with your intel.
1. Overtrading
The market whispers the same alluring promise to every trader: You can get more today.
Maybe you catch a euphoric run and want to duplicate it on the reversal. Or perhaps you begin by getting ground up in a channel. Now you’re sure the next tag will be the breakout. No matter how your first trade performed, greed is lurking.
Amateurs chase every setup, but pro traders routinely silence the devil on their shoulder in favor of a proven, unemotional strategy.
With Jarvis
You'll typically see 1-3 strong trade opportunities in a day with Jarvis. But days with more than 8 Long/Short tags make it difficult to distinguish profitable setups from traps.
Overtagging (3+ tags in 5-10 minutes) usually signals a channel or reveals that the day is a wash. Go into each day knowing that executing more than three trades is not a profitable formula. Take note of overtagging patterns as a sign to step back–Jarvis is trying to tell you something. Wait for the return of momentum in the market. Even if that’s tomorrow.
2. Revenge Trading
Getting caught out in a reversal is a deeply emotional experience that will crank up the volume on your inner critic.
- I got it wrong. Do I know what I’m doing?
- I lost money. Can I afford to keep this up?
- I let people down. Should my firm or family trust me with their money?
You feel like a failure, so you set out to prove that you’re not. That's revenge trading, and once you start trading emotionally, your process is compromised. Don’t let your inner voice write your trading narrative.
If you’ve ever found yourself trying to “win back” a loss, you’re not alone. Master the 3 fears that haunt every trader and learn how to stop revenge trades before they start.
On Jarvis
What is the one surefire sign of revenge trading when using Jarvis?
Trading off the tags. We call it riding bareback.
When you've entered a tag that turns into a reversal, or sat down at your monitor two minutes late for a run, you will want to trade before the next tag. And you will regret it. Stay in the saddle and wait for the next tag to form, or the only one you get revenge on will be you.
3. Chasing Runs
The most painful lessons come from watching profits evaporate when you've jumped in after missing the initial setup. Fast-moving price action tempts you to believe you can still catch the move, but this is how fortunes disappear in seconds.
By the time retail traders notice a "hot stock" trending, institutional money is already planning its exit. Savvy pros would tell you you're not catching the wave—you're becoming the liquidity that institutional money is poised to sell into.
Think you're immune to FOMO? Check if you're overestimating your trading instincts and see how self-awareness can save your account from impulsive entries.
On Jarvis
Jarvis tags form before major moves, not during them.
Entering a trade well after a tag has formed is a rookie mistake. Rather than chasing the current move, walk away and give the market time to build another setup. No need to take losses that leave you saying, "I knew better than that".
The Pro Pattern for Profits
Professional traders mitigate emotions, executing complex processes with machine-like precision. Your task is simpler: trust Jarvis.
Jarvis shortcuts the professional training process by simplifying a winning strategy into a few green and red tags. Now it's up to you to develop the inner disciplines that transform instinctive reactions into calm, rational routines.
The market isn’t in your control, but your emotions are. Every day is a new chance to train your brain and trust Jarvis.
Discipline builds confidence. Discover why Jarvis is the go-to tool for intermediate traders ready to level up their process and stay sharp under pressure.
Trading is a constant internal battle.
Professional traders move millions in daily volume, yet they still fall victim to the same emotional traps that derail beginners. What sets them apart? Pros recognize their emotional triggers, refusing to recycle the same costly mistakes that vaporize new accounts.
Jarvis puts institutional-grade analysis at your fingertips, but without emotional discipline, even the best tools can be sabotaged by emotional triggers. Here are three common emotional pitfalls that plague traders at every level, and how to use Jarvis to stay disciplined when your instincts are at war with your intel.
1. Overtrading
The market whispers the same alluring promise to every trader: You can get more today.
Maybe you catch a euphoric run and want to duplicate it on the reversal. Or perhaps you begin by getting ground up in a channel. Now you’re sure the next tag will be the breakout. No matter how your first trade performed, greed is lurking.
Amateurs chase every setup, but pro traders routinely silence the devil on their shoulder in favor of a proven, unemotional strategy.
With Jarvis
You'll typically see 1-3 strong trade opportunities in a day with Jarvis. But days with more than 8 Long/Short tags make it difficult to distinguish profitable setups from traps.
Overtagging (3+ tags in 5-10 minutes) usually signals a channel or reveals that the day is a wash. Go into each day knowing that executing more than three trades is not a profitable formula. Take note of overtagging patterns as a sign to step back–Jarvis is trying to tell you something. Wait for the return of momentum in the market. Even if that’s tomorrow.
2. Revenge Trading
Getting caught out in a reversal is a deeply emotional experience that will crank up the volume on your inner critic.
- I got it wrong. Do I know what I’m doing?
- I lost money. Can I afford to keep this up?
- I let people down. Should my firm or family trust me with their money?
You feel like a failure, so you set out to prove that you’re not. That's revenge trading, and once you start trading emotionally, your process is compromised. Don’t let your inner voice write your trading narrative.
If you’ve ever found yourself trying to “win back” a loss, you’re not alone. Master the 3 fears that haunt every trader and learn how to stop revenge trades before they start.
On Jarvis
What is the one surefire sign of revenge trading when using Jarvis?
Trading off the tags. We call it riding bareback.
When you've entered a tag that turns into a reversal, or sat down at your monitor two minutes late for a run, you will want to trade before the next tag. And you will regret it. Stay in the saddle and wait for the next tag to form, or the only one you get revenge on will be you.
3. Chasing Runs
The most painful lessons come from watching profits evaporate when you've jumped in after missing the initial setup. Fast-moving price action tempts you to believe you can still catch the move, but this is how fortunes disappear in seconds.
By the time retail traders notice a "hot stock" trending, institutional money is already planning its exit. Savvy pros would tell you you're not catching the wave—you're becoming the liquidity that institutional money is poised to sell into.
Think you're immune to FOMO? Check if you're overestimating your trading instincts and see how self-awareness can save your account from impulsive entries.
On Jarvis
Jarvis tags form before major moves, not during them.
Entering a trade well after a tag has formed is a rookie mistake. Rather than chasing the current move, walk away and give the market time to build another setup. No need to take losses that leave you saying, "I knew better than that".
The Pro Pattern for Profits
Professional traders mitigate emotions, executing complex processes with machine-like precision. Your task is simpler: trust Jarvis.
Jarvis shortcuts the professional training process by simplifying a winning strategy into a few green and red tags. Now it's up to you to develop the inner disciplines that transform instinctive reactions into calm, rational routines.
The market isn’t in your control, but your emotions are. Every day is a new chance to train your brain and trust Jarvis.
Discipline builds confidence. Discover why Jarvis is the go-to tool for intermediate traders ready to level up their process and stay sharp under pressure.
School’s Out: Master Day Trading Without the Homework
How long are you willing to lose money trading before you throw in the towel?
Options traders have always experienced a razor-sharp learning curve, making day trading feel like you’re enrolled in a university. You’re paying high tuition in losses while logging years of head-scratching homework.
“It’s the cost of learning! This will all pay off when it finally clicks.”
But with day trading, you’re not guaranteed a degree. Most studious traders never come close to their dream of full-time trading.
But what if homework isn’t really the answer?
How Long Does It Take to Learn Day Trading?
The two individuals who created Jarvis toiled through decades of options trading to achieve consistent success and personal wealth. Rest assured, at Jarvis, we have a lot of respect for traditional traders—y’all have seen some stuff!
Most traditional day traders struggle to turn the corner of consistent profit before year three. 1-2year mastery highlights the prodigies, and 5-6 years marks the most die-hard (or are they deluded?) traders who must win at any cost.
That’s a long time to operate in the red. And those traders put in far more than 6 hours of daily trading time on a screen.
They also invested endless hours on morning market prep, weekly trade reviews, scouring the news for FOMC meetings, and YouTube sessions dissecting other traders' strategies or the next hot securities.
Traditional traders can easily invest 40 or even 80 hours each month on extracurriculars looking for an edge. Because, inside those trading hours, the losses are piling up.
All of this points to one harsh, inexorable truth:
I still haven’t learned how to trade.
Don't Learn How to Trade
This is the line that offends the trading purists—and we’re fine with that.
Because when you see retail traders hung out to dry for two years saying, “I know I can make it!”that’s not grit. It’s evidence of a vampiric system designed to use your ego against you and deplete your account while selling you hope in the form of homework.
When we built Jarvis, we knew the day trading learning curve had to be solved. To do this, we set two goals:
1. Reduce trading to a single screen. Nothing embodies trading ego more than the quad monitor setup (or more!) that has become the icon of advanced trading. If traders can’t win, we want to look smarter while losing!
2. Signal accurate trade entries. Expert traders know when to trade. But behind the curtain, those trade wizards use dozens of on-screen data points and years of mentally ingrained experience to inform critical split-second decisions.
Traditional traders who found success the hard way–bless your souls–did it that way because they had to.
They didn’t have Jarvis reducing 6 hours of on-screen trading to 3 or 4 high-probability entry signals. They didn’t have four screens of data points summed up in a single predictive Jarvis ticker.
Now, traders with Jarvis–who didn’t spend years on homework, webinars, and YouTube sessions–can watch a live Long/Short tag form, and Know When To Trade.
Mastering Jarvis Is Easy
If you’ve developed dedicated homework habits for trading, we respect your discipline. So, has the homework paid off? Are you trading profitably because of it?
Here’s what it looks like to master Jarvis: Intermediate traders will instantly know what they’re looking at the moment they see Jarvis in action. Realistically, you can expect one week of trading with the live stream to fully comprehend which signals and indicators add up to a no-brainer entry.
No more market research. No more sniffing out stock news. No more guru videos searching for the elusive missing ingredient in your trade strategy.
Right now, Jarvis is free for your first 30 days because we want you to experience day trading the way it should be—without the homework.
Dedicate a month to trusting Jarvis.
Dedicate a month to taking back your time.
See how simple trading can be.
How long are you willing to lose money trading before you throw in the towel?
Options traders have always experienced a razor-sharp learning curve, making day trading feel like you’re enrolled in a university. You’re paying high tuition in losses while logging years of head-scratching homework.
“It’s the cost of learning! This will all pay off when it finally clicks.”
But with day trading, you’re not guaranteed a degree. Most studious traders never come close to their dream of full-time trading.
But what if homework isn’t really the answer?
How Long Does It Take to Learn Day Trading?
The two individuals who created Jarvis toiled through decades of options trading to achieve consistent success and personal wealth. Rest assured, at Jarvis, we have a lot of respect for traditional traders—y’all have seen some stuff!
Most traditional day traders struggle to turn the corner of consistent profit before year three. 1-2year mastery highlights the prodigies, and 5-6 years marks the most die-hard (or are they deluded?) traders who must win at any cost.
That’s a long time to operate in the red. And those traders put in far more than 6 hours of daily trading time on a screen.
They also invested endless hours on morning market prep, weekly trade reviews, scouring the news for FOMC meetings, and YouTube sessions dissecting other traders' strategies or the next hot securities.
Traditional traders can easily invest 40 or even 80 hours each month on extracurriculars looking for an edge. Because, inside those trading hours, the losses are piling up.
All of this points to one harsh, inexorable truth:
I still haven’t learned how to trade.
Don't Learn How to Trade
This is the line that offends the trading purists—and we’re fine with that.
Because when you see retail traders hung out to dry for two years saying, “I know I can make it!”that’s not grit. It’s evidence of a vampiric system designed to use your ego against you and deplete your account while selling you hope in the form of homework.
When we built Jarvis, we knew the day trading learning curve had to be solved. To do this, we set two goals:
1. Reduce trading to a single screen. Nothing embodies trading ego more than the quad monitor setup (or more!) that has become the icon of advanced trading. If traders can’t win, we want to look smarter while losing!
2. Signal accurate trade entries. Expert traders know when to trade. But behind the curtain, those trade wizards use dozens of on-screen data points and years of mentally ingrained experience to inform critical split-second decisions.
Traditional traders who found success the hard way–bless your souls–did it that way because they had to.
They didn’t have Jarvis reducing 6 hours of on-screen trading to 3 or 4 high-probability entry signals. They didn’t have four screens of data points summed up in a single predictive Jarvis ticker.
Now, traders with Jarvis–who didn’t spend years on homework, webinars, and YouTube sessions–can watch a live Long/Short tag form, and Know When To Trade.
Mastering Jarvis Is Easy
If you’ve developed dedicated homework habits for trading, we respect your discipline. So, has the homework paid off? Are you trading profitably because of it?
Here’s what it looks like to master Jarvis: Intermediate traders will instantly know what they’re looking at the moment they see Jarvis in action. Realistically, you can expect one week of trading with the live stream to fully comprehend which signals and indicators add up to a no-brainer entry.
No more market research. No more sniffing out stock news. No more guru videos searching for the elusive missing ingredient in your trade strategy.
Right now, Jarvis is free for your first 30 days because we want you to experience day trading the way it should be—without the homework.
Dedicate a month to trusting Jarvis.
Dedicate a month to taking back your time.
See how simple trading can be.